PSG resumes Ligue 1 play without Pastore
Soccer Betting Lines
01/27/2012 - Brest, France (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - PSG has continued its spending spree with the signings of Brazilian defenders Alex and Maxwell, but will be without its most expensive addition, Javier Pastore, on Saturday at Brest.
Pastore, acquired for approximately $55 million in the summer from Palermo, is out three to four weeks with a muscle tear suffered last Friday in the Coupe de France.
Maxwell was signed earlier this month from Barcelona, and Alex followed him to Paris on Friday from Chelsea. The latest additions push the club's signings to around $125 million under their new Qatari owners.
With a three-point cushion over Montpellier atop Ligue 1, PSG has used its new players to emerge as the dominant team in France. But a tricky trip to Brest - which has not lost at home - awaits this weekend.
"Everywhere we go this year, people are waiting for us," said PSG midfielder Clement Chantome. "They are unbeaten at home so we know what to expect."
PSG was eliminated from the Coupe de la Ligue and the Europa League, leaving a Ligue 1 title and Coupe de France crown as the remaining targets.
With Carlo Ancelotti perfect since taking over with a pair of Coupe de France wins and one Ligue 1 win, the pressure will be on PSG not only to remain atop the standings and advance in the Coupe, but to excel week-to-week.
"What's really new about PSG is that now we're an ambitious club that wants to go all out to win titles," said Chantome. "What has arrived at the club is a very promising potential. I'm ambitious, I know what's expected of me and all I want is to get out there and win titles with this club."
PSG has not lost in its last eight in all competitions, so Brest will have one huge mountain to climb this weekend to remain unbeaten at home.
Montpellier visits Nice on Saturday, when defending champions and third-place Lille hosts St. Etienne. Auxerre hosts Nancy, Lorient hosts Sochaux, Lyon hosts Dijon, and Toulouse hosts Caen in Saturday's other matches.
On Sunday, Evian hosts Bordeaux, Valenciennes hosts Ajaccio, and Rennes hosts Marseille in a battle of top-six clubs.
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Stanley alone in front at Farmers Insurance Open >>
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Betting Football
NFL Football Betting OnlineIs there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.