Football Betting

Drill masters San Vicente Stakes

Horseracing Betting Lines

02/19/2012 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Drill, ridden by Martin Garcia, held off American Act to win Sunday's $150,000 San Vicente Stakes for three-year-olds at Santa Anita Park. The colt covered the seven-furlongs in 1:21.28 on a fast track.

The six-horse field was reduced to four with the scratches of Smoking G and Captain Obvious. Creative Cause was the 1-2 favorite, American Act was 3-1 with Drill at 7-2 and Let's Get Crackin was 11-1.

American Act, ridden by Martin Pedroza, took the lead from the start with Drill running second followed by Let's Get Crackin and Creative Cause.

On the turn for home Drill drew even with American Act as Creative Cause went three wide to take over third. Coming out of the turn it looked like the favorite was going to join the top two runners on the lead.

Creative Cause could not sustain his move as Drill took the lead from American Act. In the last 100 yards American Act fought back to join Drill on the lead, but Drill was able get his nose to the wire first. Creative Cause finished third and Let's Get Crackin was fourth.

"I don't know what made the difference today," Garcia said. "I guess he just wanted to run. He's a really good horse so I don't know what happened in his last races, but he put everything together today. The finish was close but I was confident I got the win."

Trained by Bob Baffert, Drill was making his second start of the year, coming off a fifth-place result as the 8-5 favorite in last month's San Pedro at Santa Anita. After winning in his second career start, the colt captured the Del Mar Futurity. He was 10th in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and again failed as the favorite in the Delta Downs Jackpot two weeks later. In December he was a disappointing ninth in the CashCall Futurity at Hollywood Park.

Drill, owned by Pegram, Watson and Weitman, earned $90,000 with his third win in nine career starts. The son of Lawyer Ron has total earnings of $339,710.

Baffert won last year's San Vicente with The Factor.

Even though Creative Cause, third in last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile, failed as the odds-on favorite, trainer Mike Harrington was not disappointed.

"We got what we wanted out of the race. He's a route horse, not a seven- furlong horse," Harrington said. "We hope he moves forward off of this. Did you see him gallop out? He'll definitely move forward."

Drill returned $9.60 and $5.00, and American Act paid $4.00. There was not show wagering.


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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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